Liberty had climbed into the top 20 after an 8-1 start to the season, but a 36-33 loss to UConn in week 11 sent them into a tailspin of three straight losses to end the year. Liberty (8-4) has faded so much that they are underdogs on Tuesday night in the Boca Raton Bowl against Toledo (8-5). The Rockets are fresh off a MAC Championship Game win over Ohio so they have momentum.
Before Betting on the Boca Raton Bowl
Liberty had some impressive wins this season, most notably 41-14 over BYU in week 8 as a +7 point underdog and then 21-19 on the road at Arkansas with a +14 point line. As notable as those wins were, so are the Flames’ last three losses including the defeat to Connecticut as -13.5 favorites, falling 23-22 at home to Virginia Tech with a line of -11, and then getting absolutely destroyed 49-14 at home against New Mexico State even though Liberty was a -24 point favorite.
The Flames have lost three straight to wind down the regular season and they were favored in each of those. Not only that, coach Hugh Freeze has left to take the Auburn job leaving co-defensive coordinator Jason Aldridge in charge for the Boca Raton Bowl.
The Rockets prevailed in the MAC Championship Game, but it was ugly in a 17-7 win over Ohio. The two games prior Toledo had lost to Bowling Green 42-35 as -15 point favorites and 20-14 at Western Michigan as -10.5 favorites. Both teams in the Boca Raton Bowl are limping into the game.
Liberty vs Toledo NCAAF Offshore Betting Odds
| Offshore Sportsbook | Moneyline | Total | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | Toledo (1.58) | Liberty (2.50) | 53.5 | Toledo -3.5 (1.91) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
| Bovada | Toledo (1.58) | Liberty (2.45) | 53 | Toledo -3.5 (1.91) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
| BetUS | Toledo (1.57) | Liberty (2.50) | 53 | Toledo -3.5 (1.91) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
| SportsBetting.ag | Toledo (1.58) | Liberty (2.5) | 53.5 | Toledo -3.5 (1.91) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
| Pinnacle | Toledo (1.62) | Liberty (2.41) | 53 | Toledo -3.5 (1.98) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
| MyBookie | Toledo (1.56) | Liberty (2.45) | 53 | Toledo -3.5 (1.91) | Liberty +3.5 (1.91) |
Boca Raton Bowl Prediction & Pick
If anything can happen in a bowl game, especially one with two struggling teams – you have to take the points. Liberty may have lost their coach, but they had the talent to get up to #19 in the rankings at one point this season and should not be getting +3.5 points here.
Pick: Liberty +3.5
