Our prediction for today’s MLB game between Braves vs. Padres is under 7 runs (-115)
This is Game 1 of a best-of-three wild card series between the Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres.
The Braves clinched a playoff spot in the final game of the season, while the Padres have been one of the best teams since the All-Star break.
Offshore Odds: Under Almost Favorites
| Team | Run Line | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | +1.5 (-165) | +140 | O 7 (-105) |
| Padres | -1.5 (+145) | -153 | U 7 (-115) |
Braves vs. Padres Head-to-Head Stats
The Braves are 370-291 all-time against the Padres.
The Padres won the season series against the Braves 4-3.
Braves Pitching Trending Up
This will be the Braves’ seventh straight postseason appearance. Five of those playoff runs ended in Divisional Series losses, one in an NLCS loss, and they won the World Series title in 2021. From the ’90s to the present day, the Braves have typically had strong regular seasons, only to face early exits in the postseason.
The Atlanta offense ranks in the middle of the league and is 9th in slugging percentage. Their pitching ranks third in quality starts and WHIP, and they are first in the majors with a 3.49 ERA.
Atlanta just secured one of the last playoff spots and will look to continue their strong pitching. However, their ace, Chris Sale, has back spasms and will likely miss the Wild Card series.
Despite this, the team should still be in good shape for Game 1, with Max Fried on the mound. He is 11-10 with a 3.25 ERA. Four of his last five starts have been quality ones, and he typically records around six to eight strikeouts per game.
Padres Looking For Early Offense
The Padres have never won the World Series, and their quest for their first title starts with home field advantage in the Wild Card round. This is their eighth playoff appearance in franchise history and their first since 2022.
San Diego’s pitching hovers around the top ten overall, while their offense boasts the best batting average in the league at .263.
Recently, Padres games at home have been low-scoring, despite a decent amount of offensive production. Petco Park is both hitter-friendly and pitcher-friendly. The Padres will need to get to Fried early in the game and prevent him from settling in.
On the mound for the Padres is Michael King. He is 13-9 with a 2.95 ERA. His numbers have improved each month, and he has allowed only four earned runs in four September starts.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
These are two teams with strengths that cancel each other out. The Braves are one of the best pitching teams, while the Padres excel in hitting. Most of the time, good pitching beats good hitting. Both pitchers have performed consistently well and will aim to maintain that trend.
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