The Denver Broncos (5-4) visit Kansas City to play their longtime rivals, the undefeated Chiefs (8-0). Kansas City is an 8-point favorite. Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction is for underdog Denver to cover the point spread and for the teams to score less than 41.5 points.
In head-to-head matchups between these AFC West stalwarts, Kansas City leads with a record of 72-56.
Offshore Odds: Kansas City Is a Heavy Favorite at Home
| Team | Point Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +8 (-114) | +315 | O 41.5 (-115) |
| Chiefs | -8 (-106) | -385 | U 41.5 (-105) |
Undefeated Chiefs Still Searching for Dominance
Kansas City continued its undefeated run with a Week 9 overtime win over Tampa Bay.
Still, despite being 8-0, the Chiefs are trying to recover their past dominance. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has done enough to win, but he has nearly the same number of interceptions as he does touchdown passes.
With injuries to Isiah Pacheco and Rashee Rice, head coach Andy Reid and Mahomes are working on the fly. Their Monday night win over the Buccaneers exemplified their season. They relied on star tight end Travis Kelce who caught 14 passes for 100 yards. Recently acquired DeAndre Hopkins caught eight passes and scored two touchdowns.
The game was a microcosm of their season with the defense clamping down when necessary and Mahomes relying on star players to secure a late-game win. They maintain their undefeated record in a tribute to their coaching, preparation, and championship pedigree. Every game has been close with six of their eight wins being by seven or fewer points.
Opportunistic Denver Is in the Playoff Hunt
In year 2 of head coach Sean Payton’s regime, the Broncos are 5-4 and in the playoff mix. They are integrating rookie quarterback Bo Nix into the NFL and relying on a top-10 defense. Their front seven pressures the quarterback and the secondary is anchored by cornerback Patrick Surtain III.
They have been competitive in every game but for Week 9’s 41-10 blowout loss in Baltimore. Payton is asking Nix to play high-percentage football, rely on his legs and keep the games close. He has done that. A win over Kansas City would be a morale-booster and help them take the next step.
Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction: Denver Keeps It Close
Kansas City has been playing with fire all season. The combination of injuries and stress from keeping up an undefeated season, particularly one in which they have not been dominant, is wearing them down. Denver controls the running and passing game and can keep the Chiefs off the scoreboard. The only question is whether they can avoid another Kansas City late-game score to steal the victory.
Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction is that Denver keeps the game close, below the 8-point spread and under 41.5 points.
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