Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction is that the teams will combine to surpass 41.5 points.
Kansas City (6-0) remains undefeated. They have been far from dominant and are nursing multiple injuries to key stars. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ numbers are poor despite the wins.
Head-to-head, the Chiefs have the advantage with a record of 73-55-2.
Offshore Odds: Kansas City Is a 10-Point Favorite
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -10 (+100) | -500 | O 41.5 (-105) |
| Raiders | +10 (-120) | +395 | U 41.5 (-115) |
Chiefs Are Unbeaten, but Not Without Problems
Kansas City is the two-time defending Super Bowl champion. When looking solely at their record, they appear unstoppable. Still, they have been objectively shaky in accruing that record in 2024 having squeaked by Cincinnati, Atlanta, and the Los Angeles Chargers. In their last game, they scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns to win against the 49ers going away.
The Chiefs are without Isiah Pacheco and Rashee Rice. Star tight end Travis Kelce is 35 and his production is declining. Mahomes is coming through when it counts, but he only has six touchdown passes and is leading the NFL in interceptions with eight. Acquiring DeAndre Hopkins from Tennessee should boost the offense and give Mahomes another weapon. Given the short preparation window, it is a question of how much he will play.
Raiders’ Big News Came Off the Field
Las Vegas (2-5) is in the middle of a rebuild and the team seems directionless. This week, the Raiders’ big acquisition was Tom Brady’s approval to be part owner. They have lost three straight and are in last place in the AFC West.
QB Aidan O’Connell injured his thumb and was placed on injured reserve. Gardner Minshew, who began the season as the starter, will once again take the reins. The Raiders recently signed Desmond Ridder to be his backup.
Las Vegas showed some fight early in the season beating the Ravens, but the reality of their limited talent has hit home. They have lost three straight and are mired in the cellar of their division, looking toward the 2025 NFL Draft. Rookie tight end Brock Bowers is an emerging superstar and one of the team’s few bright spots.
Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction: Taking the Over Is the Safe Strategy
The Raiders are third from the bottom in points allowed. Even with the Chiefs missing key components of their offense, this is too much for the Raiders to overcome to make this a competitive game. Still, a 10-point spread is a lot, particularly with Mahomes struggling and the Chiefs’ injuries.
Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction avoids the point spread and expects the teams to combine to score over 41.5 points.
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