Our Colts vs Texans prediction is Houston -5 (-106). Head-to-head, the teams have played 46 games. The Colts have dominated the series with a 33-12-1 record.
Offshore Odds: Houston Is Favored by 5 Points
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | +5 (-114) | +195 | O 46 (-105) |
| Texans | -5 (-106) | -225 | U 46 (-115) |
Is Indianapolis on the Verge of a QB Controversy?
Indianapolis (4-3) has won four of five since starting the season 0-2. That includes a loss to Houston in the season opener. Two of the wins came against contending teams: Chicago and Pittsburgh. Additionally, if they win this game, they will have split the season series with Houston which is a key factor with who will win the division if they are tied at season’s end.
The Colts took quarterback Anthony Richardson with the fourth pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. He has a laser beam shooting arm. However, against Miami in his return from an oblique injury, he went 10 for 24 for 129 yards. Fortunately for Indianapolis, they won a 16-10 wrestling match with the struggling Dolphins.
If Richardson continues to struggle, could head coach Shane Steichen turn to capable backup Joe Flacco? Flacco, 39, played well in Richardson’s absence going 71 for 108 with seven TDs and one INT.
Houston Can Put a Stranglehold on the Division
The Texans have a powerful offense, a quarterback in the conversation for league MVP in C.J. Stroud, a good running attack with Joe Mixon and Cam Akers, and a deep well of pass catchers in Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz.
Despite Indianapolis’ success against the run, it will be difficult to keep Houston off the scoreboard. If Houston wins this game, they will have two head-to-head wins this season over the Colts. In the event of them ending the season with identical records, the Texans will win the division.
Colts vs Texans Prediction: Favored Texans Will Cover the Point Spread
The Colts are feisty, but their 4-3 record could just as easily be reversed or worse. The Texans have the talent to make a playoff run and threaten the Bills and Chiefs in the conference.
Favored Houston should win the game and cover the 5-point spread.
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