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Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento is the main event of UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento also known as UFC on ESPN 56. The event is also known as UFC St. Louis for the fact that it will take place at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO, on Saturday, May 11, 2024.

If you’d like to bet on this fight, you should keep on reading this Lewis vs. Nascimento prediction. This is because we’re now going to analyze the UFC St. Louis odds, fighter stats and records, and even share our top pick.

Before Betting on the Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento UFC on ESPN 56 Fight

It’s been a while since a heavyweight fight headlined a UFC event. For the first time in nearly two months, two heavyweights will lock horns in the headliner fight. And our prediction is that the Lewis vs. Nascimento is going to be a hell of a fight.

It’s “The Black Beast” versus “Jogi Bear” in the main event of UFC St. Louis. As their nicknames suggest, they’re both big guys. Lewis and Nascimento are both 6’3, weighing over 260 pounds. However, there’s one major difference between the two.

While Derrick Lewis is one of the scariest hitters in the UFC Heavyweight Division, Rodrigo Nascimento likes using grappling to finish his opponents.  

Lewis is 27-12-1 overall with 22 wins by knockout/technical knockout. When it comes to Nascimento, he’s 11-1-1 with six wins by submission.

So, which style will prevail in the headliner fight of UFC St. Louis?

Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Offshore Odds & Pick

Offshore SportsbookDerrick LewisRodrigo Nascimento
BetOnline-160+140
MyBookie-165+129
BetUS-165+135
SportsBetting.ag-160+140
XBet-165+129

Even though Rodrigo Nascimento looks like a very dangerous grappler, Derick Lewis has faced many such fighters before. In fact, in his most recent fight, he went the distance with BJJ black belt Jailton Almeida.

Lewis lost that fight, but losing to such talent as Almeida isn’t embarrassing. This goes especially if he bounces back to the winning track in St. Louis, which we think he will.

Pick: Derrick Lewis by KO/TKO