AC Milan suffered Champions League disaster in midweek, losing 1-0 at Bayer Leverkusen to leave their place in the competition under threat.
Domestically, the Rossoneri’s form has been pretty solid after winning half of their six matches this term. A win could also send them to the top of the Serie A standings this weekend.
Fiorentina’s form has been contrasting to Milan, as they have been in strong form in Europe, but disappointed domestically.
The team from Florence have won just once in six outings this season. However, it could be worth noting that four of their matches have ended in draws.
Odds: Rossoneri Favored to Bounce Back from European Defeat
Milan will be a short price favorite to bounce back to form this weekend. Fiorentina have been hard to beat this term, meaning that there could be value in siding with the home win or draw.
| Match Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina | +231 |
| Draw | +256 |
| AC Milan | +121 |
Milan Look Strong Bet Based on H2H Record
| Total | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Draws | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 41 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
| Serie A Games | 40 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
| Goals | 108 | 46 | 62 |
Milan have won a staggering 78 of their 168 Serie A matches against Fiorentina. The Rossoneri have only won more top-flight matches against Roma in their history.
Meanwhile, Milan has won six of their last eight against their Florence rivals, including both clashes last term.
🚨⚽ TIP: Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last seven clashes between these Serie A sides. (Over 2.5 Goals @ -112)
Fiorentina Team News
Raffaele Palladino is unlikely to make too many changes from the Fiorentina side that easily swept aside The New Saints in Europe in midweek.
However, defender Marin Pongracic is one star who will be absent this weekend. The player is unlikely to return until after the international after suffering a muscle injury.
Possible Lineup
David de Gea (GK); Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Edoardo Bove, Danilo Cataldi, Andrea Colpani, Albert Gudmundsson, Christian Kouame, Moise Kean
Key Stat
Fiorentina’s excellent home record is worth considering this weekend. They have avoided defeat in ten of their last eleven matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
AC Milan Team News
Ismael Bennacer remains out for AC Milan, with the midfielder expected to return in late December.
Alessandro Florenzi is another longer-term absence for the Rossoneri, with the midfielder likely to return in early 2025. Marco Sportiello could be fit enough for a place on the bench.
Possible Lineup
Mike Maignan (GK); Emerson, Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez, Youssouf Fofana, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Christian Pulisic, Alvaro Morata, Rafael Leao, Tammy Abraham
Key Stat
Milan boast an excellent record against Fiorentina after winning the last two. However, they haven’t won three on the bounce against their Florence rivals since 2011.
Fiorentina vs. AC Milan Prediction
Christian Pulisic’s excellent form for Milan this term continued with a goal in last weekend’s success against Lecce.
However, the low-block tactic for Fiorentina could stifle the Milan forward line this weekend. Therefore, the preference is for the draw in Florence.
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