Our Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Iasmin Lucindo prediction is that a betting upset might happen. The Brazilian fighter is seen as a heavy favorite with UFC 301 odds of -310 (or even shorter), but Lucindo’s Achilles heel is precisely one of the strongest weapons of Kowalkiewicz.
To see what we mean by all this, keep reading our Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo prediction.
Before Betting on Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 301 Fight
Karolina Kowalkiewicz is 16-7 overall with four wins in a row in the UFC. Before that, she lost five fights in a row, but that happened against some of the best fighters in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division.
Kowalkiewicz is a great striker who lands nearly six significant strikes a minute. She also gets hit a lot, but she’s tough as they come, which explains why she’s only lost one fight by KO/TKO. This happened against Jessica Andrade back in 2018.
Apart from hitting hard, the Polish fighter is also great when it comes to grappling. Three of her four wins inside the distance happened by submission.
She might not be the best grappler in women’s MMA, but she’s definitely better than Iasmin Lucindo. The Brazilian fighter is 15-5 overall with three of her five losses happening by submission.
Lucindo did beat Polyana Viana with an arm-triangle choke last year, but we’re not sure if she can repeat the same against another UFC veteran.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Iasmin Lucindo UFC 301 Offshore Odds & Pick
| Offshore Sportsbook | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Iasmin Lucindo |
| BetOnline | +270 | -330 |
| MyBookie | +250 | -330 |
| BetUS | +240 | -330 |
| SportsBetting.ag | +270 | -330 |
| XBet | +250 | -330 |
The Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo odds are heavily in favor of the Brazilian fighter, but we suspect a surprise might happen. Kowalkiewicz, who is 16 years Lucindo’s senior has plenty of experience with big fights in which she’s an underdog. Plus, she seems to be in her best shape in years, so we really wouldn’t be surprised to see her win in Rio de Janeiro.
Pick: Karolina Kowalkiewicz
