Although New York Red Bulls have the upper hand in the Hudson River derby in terms of overall results, it’s New York City that find themselves in better form at present.
With any knockout games it’s all about momentum and riding that crest of a wave, and Nick Cushing’s side will take positives from their win in this fixture back in September.
Of the four MLS semi-finals, this is almost certainly to be the most keenly contested, with no quarter asked or given by either side.
With a place against Orlando City or Atlanta United in the Conference Final up for grabs, a fast-paced encounter should be expected, and don’t be surprised if the officials are kept on their toes throughout.
Nothing To Choose Between Either Side
The odds reflect just how well matched these two teams are, with little to choose between them. Local pride being at stake will always ensure that any game has more of an edge to it than normal.
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| +119 | +257 | +219 |
Head-to-Head: Red Bulls Have The Edge In All-Time Record
| Total | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Draws | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 29 | 9 | 15 | 5 |
| MLS Games | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 |
| Goals | 75 | 29 | 46 |
Key Stats
- At least four goals have been scored in this fixture on eight separate occasions.
- New York City’s biggest win in the fixture came last time out; a 5-1 victory in September 2024.
- New York Red Bulls’ biggest win was a 7-0 victory way back in May 2016.
- On both of those occasions, the wins came away from home.
- There have only ever been two goalless draws in this fixture
New York City FC Team News
Malachi Jones has continues to struggle with his knee issue and isn’t likely to make this one.
Possible Lineup:
Matt Freese (GK); Kevin O’Toole, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Tayvon Gray, Andres Perea, James Sands, Keaton Parks, Hannes Wolf, Alonso Martinez, Maximiliano Moralez.
New York Red Bulls Team News
Sandro Schwarz will be delighted that he can call upon a full roster for this one.
Possible Lineup:
Carlos Coronel (GK); Dylan Nealis, Andres Reyes, Noah Eile, John Tolkin, Dennis Gjengaar, Felipe Carballo, Daniel Edelman, Cameron Harper, Dante Vanzeir, Lewis Morgan.
New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction
There’s bound to be some extra spice in a fixture that’s renowned for its local rivalry.
New York Red Bulls have only won on four out of the last 18 matches in all competitions, and were tanked 5-1 in this fixture at the end of September.
In roughly the same time period, New York City have won double the amount of games (8), but three of those came via penalty shoot-out.
The pressure in this game is likely to weigh heavily so expect plenty of nervousness, particularly in the opening exchanges.
Thanks to their better form coming into the match, it’s difficult to look past the hosts.
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