Our Padres vs. Dodgers prediction is the Padres Run Line +1.5 (-205).
Offshore Odds: Dodgers Favored Very Slightly
| Team | Run Line | Money Line | Game Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | +1.5 (-205) | -101 | O 8.5 (-105) |
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+175) | -109 | U 8.5 (-115) |
Padres vs. Dodgers: Head-To-Head Stats
The Padres (91-67) have an 8-4 record against the first-place Dodgers (94-64) in 2024.
San Diego was 10 games behind the Dodgers on June 18. They cut the deficit to two games before losing on Wednesday. They enter tonight’s game three games out of first place with four games remaining on the schedule.
Before Betting
Luke Musgrove starts for San Diego in the final game of the NL West clash at Dodger Stadium. Walker Buehler takes the hill for Los Angeles.
The injury-ravaged Dodgers have not come anywhere close to achieving the historic preseason expectations of challenging the 1998 Yankees for greatness and 2001 Mariners for most victories in a season. Shohei Ohtani has certainly lived up to his end of the bargain with 53 home runs, 56 stolen bases and a 1.027 OPS.
The Padres were in a mosh pit of teams fighting for the Wild Card at midseason when they aggressively boosted their roster at the trade deadline acquiring relief pitchers Tanner Scott and Jason Adam and starting pitcher Martin Perez. This came after an early-May trade for hitting machine Luis Arráez.
Max Muncy has 11 hits in 30 career at-bats vs. Musgrove with 3 doubles and a home run. Freddie Freeman is 13 for 30 with 3 doubles, 1 triple and 1 home run. Mookie Betts is 7 for 21 with 3 doubles.
The Padres righty missed over two months with a bone spur in his elbow. Apart from one blip in San Francisco when the Giants pounded him for 6 earned runs and 3 homers, he’s been solid since his return.
Dodgers starter Walker Buehler has struggled mightily in his return from Tommy John surgery. He enters tonight’s game with a 1-6 record, a 5.63 ERA, 84 hits allowed in 70.1 innings. He’s given up 16 home runs. The Padres knocked him around in early May hitting 2 home runs, accruing 5 hits and 3 runs in 3.1 innings.
Overall, he’s handled the Padres hitters well during his career, but much of that was prior to his surgery. Fernando Tatis Jr. has hammered him with 8 hits in 26 at-bats and 4 home runs. Tatis has been hot in general with 7 home runs in September.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction
The Padres still have a slight chance at the NL West title if they beat the Dodgers, cutting the deficit to two games. Still, they are heading to Arizona for a three-game series with the Diamondbacks who are fighting the Mets and Braves for two playoff spots. The Padres are already in no matter what. The Dodgers head to Colorado to play the last-place Rockies.
This pitching matchup heavily favors the Padres, putting the Money Line in consideration. But the safer play is the Padres Run Line of +1.5 (-205).
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