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Paul Craig vs. Caia Borralho is one of the most interesting UFC 301 fights. Why? Because “Bearjew” is one of the biggest giant slayers in the UFC. Craig has staged a number of huge upsets in his MMA career and is hoping to pull off another surprise against favored Borralho in the middle of Borralho’s home country of Brazil.

Before Betting on Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Fight

Paul Craig is 17-7-1 overall, with a 9-7-1 record since joining the UFC in 2016. His record is alright, but you wouldn’t think of him as someone who could beat former or future champions. Well, he did it a couple of times already.

In fact, “Bearjew” seems to perform best when he’s a massive underdog. Some of the best examples of this include the following wins:

  • Submission win over Magomed Ankalaev when Craig was a +500 underdog
  • TKO win over Jamahal Hill when Craig was a +240 underdog
  • Submission win over Nikita Krylov when Craig was a +162 underdog
  • TKO win over Andre Muniz when Craig was a +150 underdog

The Scottish fighter is once again seen as an underdog, so the obvious question is – can he upset the odds against Caio Borralho?

We’re sure Borralho is aware of how dangerous Craig can be inside the Octagon. The Brazilian knows that this guy is a hell of a grappler with incredibly powerful striking. This is why he’ll probably try to go with a more tactical approach than usual. Will this work for him?

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Offshore Odds & Pick

Offshore SportsbookPaul CraigCaio Borralho
BetOnline+350-450
MyBookie+265-370
BetUS+310-410
SportsBetting.ag+350-450
XBet+265-370

Bookies think Borralho will win this fight. No surprise there as the 15-1-1 fighter is fighting on his turf against someone who lost three of his four previous fights. But it’s Paul Craig we’re talking about here, the guy who’s most dangerous when you least expect it. We definitely think there’s value in backing the Scotsman.

Pick: Paul Craig