Our Penn State vs USC prediction for this NCAAF game is USC +5.5, -115.
Penn State battles USC in this Big Ten matchup. The Nittany Lions aim to remain undefeated, while the Trojans seek an upset at home.
Offshore Odds: USC Underdogs At Home
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | -5.5 (-105) | -210 | O 50 (-117) |
| USC | +5.5 (-115) | +180 | U 50 (-103) |
Penn State vs USC Head-to-Head Stats
Penn State is 4-6 all-time against USC.
Last matchup (2017): USC 52, Penn State 49.
Penn State Defense
Penn State is 5-0 and rose to #4 in the country. For most of this season, the defense has allowed around 10 ppg, even holding 23rd-ranked Illinois to just 7 points. The Nittany Lions have only been in one close game; the rest have been double-digit wins or significant blowouts. They have faced decent and above-average opponents and held their own on both sides of the ball.
The Nittany Lions recently defeated UCLA at home, 27-11. The 1st quarter ended 0-0, but over the next 2 quarters, Penn State scored 24 points and took control of the game. QB Drew Allar threw for 237 yards and 1 TD. The team played very disciplined football and did not commit any turnovers. Penn State should focus on getting the run game going, as USC struggled with that in their last game.
USC Home Cooking
USC is 3-2 so far this season. The Trojans’ offense performs well at home, and the team is 1-1 against ranked opponents. Both of those games were close, demonstrating that USC can compete with some of college football’s best teams. The offense has averaged in the mid-20s against ranked teams, while the defense has been consistent all season.
The Trojans recently lost to Minnesota on the road, 24-17. The game was tied at 10 at halftime. USC took a 7-point lead in the 3rd quarter, but Minnesota scored 14 points in the 4th quarter. Offensive statistics for both sides were fairly even, and USC rushed for 173 yards. Unfortunately, they turned the ball over 3 times. The Trojans will need to play a a much cleaner game against Penn State this week.
Penn State vs USC Prediction
Penn State has hardly been tested this season and has played only one road game. USC, on the other hand, has faced ranked teams twice, with both games being close contests. The Trojans’ offense performs well at home and USC has a 3-game winning streak against Penn State. USC will aim to slow down the Penn State offense early and match their defensive efforts throughout the game. We project an upset here.
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