If you look at the MVP odds for Super Bowl LVII – per usual it’s the respective QBs getting all the love. That’s not a real shocker considering Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+130) was the NFL MVP this year while Eagles QB Jalen Hurts (+140) probably could have been had he not missed a couple of games with injuries.
Defensive players have won the MVP in the past starting with LB Chuck Howley of the Cowboys way back at Super Bowl V and most recently Von Miller with Denver in 2016. It will be tough to unseat either Mahomes, Hurts, or Travis Kelce in this year’s game, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t some money to be made on defensive sack props for Super Bowl LVII.
Super Bowl LVII Defensive Sack Props
You would have liked to see some higher odds across the board for Sunday’s defensive sack props considering both Mahomes and Hurts have above average mobility, but Mahomes did get sacked 3X vs the Bengals in the AFC Championship game. The 49ers – even with defensive POY Nick Bosa – only got Hurts one time in the NFC Championship game for a 0 yard loss so it looks better to focus on Eagles players for this prop.
Haason Reddick 1+ (-167), 2+ (+225) – Reddick could make a stake for Super Bowl MVP with a single sack if it ends up taking out Mahomes, which is essentially what Reddick did in the NFC Championship Game knocking out the 49ers’ Brock Purdy. Either way, oddsmakers are pretty determined Reddick gets at least one sack on Sunday.
Brandon Graham 1+ (+154), 2+ (+600) – The Chiefs saw what Reddick did to the 49ers, so they’re going to put all their extra blockers to whatever sides he lines up on. That makes Graham’s job a whole lot easier and bringing down Mahomes would be a nice capper on a comeback season after tearing his Achilles in week 3 last year.
Josh Sweat 1+ (+114), 2+ (+300) – Sweat had a breakout 11 sack campaign this season and the 25-year-old seems to be entering his peak. Like Graham, Sweat benefits from all the attention that Reddick will receive on Sunday.
Frank Clark 1+ (+127), 2+ (+600) – Hurts has more designed runs than Mahomes, and if the Eagles QB runs out of bounds before gaining a yard the nearest person gets credited for a sack. Clark is likely going to be in the vicinity regardless, getting to Trevor Lawrence once in the divisional round and credited with 1.5 sacks against Joe Burrow in the AFC Championship Game.
Chris Jones 1+ (-117), 2+ (+250) – Jones seems like a sure thing here and the odds reflect it. He brought down Burrow twice in the AFC Championship and has at least 1/2 a sack in 11 of his last 13.
| Player | 1+ | 2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Graham (PHI) | +154 | +600 |
| Chris Jones (KC) | -117 | +250 |
| Fletcher Cox (PHI) | +200 | +600 |
| Frank Clark (KC) | +127 | +600 |
| George Karlaftis (KC) | +140 | +600 |
| Haason Reddick (PHI) | -167 | +225 |
| Josh Sweat (PHI) | +114 | +300 |
Super Bowl LVII Defensive Sack Pick
Reddick and/or Jones will probably get theirs but you’ll also pay for it with less than even money odds. The fun part of Super Bowl prop betting is making money on longer odds players so Graham would be my play in what could be his last game as an Eagle.
Pick: Brandon Graham +154
