U.S. Election 2024: Swing State Parlays, Odds and Best Picks

The 2024 U.S. Election is less than two weeks away! The race changed tremendously over the summer, with Joe Biden dropping out, Donald Trump being shot at, the DNC and RNC taking place, and debates happening between the two candidates and their VPs. Now, the race is extremely close, especially in these seven states.

Election Swing States

There are the seven states considered to be swing states in the 2024 U.S. Election. All seven are within just 2% in the current polling averages. They are split up into two categories, the rust belt and the sun belt. They are:

Michigan (Rust Belt)

Michigan was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 0.2%. In 2020, Joe Biden flipped the state back, winning by 2.8%. Michigan is the most competitive state in 2024. Kamala Harris leads the polling average by just 0.1%.

Wisconsin (Rust Belt)

Wisconsin was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 0.8%. In 2020, Joe Biden flipped the state back, winning by 0.7%. Wisconsin remains in a dead heat for 2024. Kamala Harris currently leads the polling average by 0.4%.

Pennsylvania (Rust Belt)

Pennsylvania was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 0.7%. In 2020, Joe Biden flipped the state back, winning by 1.2%. Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes are crucial. Donald Trump currently leads the polling average by 0.4%.

Nevada (Sun Belt)

Nevada was won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 by 2.4%. In 2020, Joe Biden maintained that gap, also winning by 2.4%. Nevada is shaping up to be even closer in 2024. Kamala Harris leads the polling average by just 0.2%.

North Carolina (Sun Belt)

North Carolina was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 3.7%. It was the only swing state he carried in 2020, winning by 1.3%. His lead appears to have shrunk further. Trump leads North Carolina by 0.9% in the average.

Arizona (Sun Belt)

Arizona was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 3.5%. In 2020, Joe Biden flipped the state back, winning by 0.3%. Arizona appears likely to flip back again in 2024. Donald Trump currently leads the polling average by 1.9%.

Georgia (Sun Belt)

Georgia was won by Donald Trump in 2016 by 5.2%. In 2020, Joe Biden made a shocking flip, winning the state by 0.2%. Georgia remains close, but it is back in Trump’s favor. He currently leads the polling average by 1.6%.

Swing State Parlays

Betting on the winner of certain swing states is a fine option, but betting on swing state parlays offers a better opportunity to maximize your returns. Parlays typically offer longer odds and a higher payout, but you’ll need all aspects of the bet to go your way to cash in. The 2024 U.S. Election offers a unique chance to do just that.

Senate Parlays

Several Senate seats are up for grabs in this Election cycle. The results will have a meaningful impact in determining which political party controls the Senate for the next two years. Here are some parlays that combine a Presidential candidate winning with a Senate candidate from their same party also winning.

U.S. Election Prediction

The Election is essentially tied based on the polls, but some key aspects favor Donald Trump. In the last two election cycles, polling was skewed in the Democrats’ favor. The actual results wound up being ~4% to the right of the polls. Also, Kamala Harris held a 3-4% lead in many of these states just a couple of months ago, but her campaign, led by the same fossils that ran Biden’s, has been largely ineffective. We see Donald Trump winning.

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• US Presidential Election