{"id":28968,"date":"2025-01-08T16:36:39","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T16:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.offshoresportsbooks.com\/news\/?p=28968"},"modified":"2025-01-08T16:36:40","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T16:36:40","slug":"ufc-vegas-predictions-jan-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.offshoresportsbooks.com\/news\/ufc-vegas-predictions-jan-11-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas Predictions \u2013 Top Picks for First Event of 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Looking for UFC Vegas predictions? We\u2019ve got you covered for the first event of 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Headlined by Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2, this isn\u2019t your ordinary Apex event. We predict it\u2019s going to be a banger, with each fight bringing plenty of excitement not only to MMA fans but bettors as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ll now analyze the most interesting fights in detail, before sharing our top picks for all bouts scheduled for Saturday, January 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mackenzie-dern-seeks-revenge-against-amanda-ribas\">Mackenzie Dern Seeks Revenge Against Amanda Ribas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Fighter<\/th><th>Odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Mackenzie Dern<\/td><td>+168<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Amanda Ribas<\/td><td>-198<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mackenzie Dern (14-5) is the only female fighter in the UFC with a 3<sup>rd<\/sup>-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Her grappling skills, however, didn\u2019t help her much in the first fight with Amanda Ribas (13-55).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ribas absolutely destroyed her, landing 74 significant strikes while absorbing just 20. She also made two takedowns, without suffering any.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Mackenzie Dern x Amanda Ribas | LUTA COMPLETA | UFC Vegas 101\" width=\"900\" height=\"506\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6Ng8HTQ4Vm8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But that was more than five years ago when both were still just starting in the UFC. In fact, that was Dern\u2019s first loss in this promotion. Since then, she\u2019s really upped her game, both grappling and striking-wise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Actually, the last two fights that she won, she won by out-striking her opponents. We think she\u2019s ready to throw everything she\u2019s got at Ribas in Saturday\u2019s fight, which is why we\u2019ll go against oddsmakers on this one and back the underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"santiago-ponzinibbio-vs-carlston-harris-possible-fight-of-the-night\">Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris \u2013 Possible Fight of the Night?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Fighter<\/th><th>Odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Santiago Ponzinibbio<\/td><td>-126<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Carlston Harris<\/td><td>+106<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our prediction for the UFC Vegas co-main event is that it\u2019s going to be a bloody affair that might win the Fight of the Night bonus. The thing is that both fighters are in desperate need of a win to stay relevant in the UFC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the start of the decade, Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-8) is 2-5, and given that he\u2019s already 38, another loss could mean the end of his UFC career. Carlston Harris (19-6) is in a better situation, but his confidence too isn\u2019t at its highest level after a nasty KO loss to Khaos Williams last May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While both fighters love finishing opponents, our prediction is that they\u2019re going to take a more tactical approach on January 11. This, however, doesn\u2019t mean the UFC Vegas co-main event will be a snooze fest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the contrary, we think the fight will be a banger, with the two exchanging punches and kicks throughout the 15 minutes, after which the judges will decide the winner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"is-action-man-ready-for-action-after-a-foot-injury\">Is Action-Man Ready for Action After a Foot Injury?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Fighter<\/th><th>Odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Chris Curtis<\/td><td>+211<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Roman Kopylov<\/td><td>-251<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chris \u201cAction-Man\u201d Curtis (31-11-1) fought twice last year. He defeated Marc-Andre Barriault by a split decision in a striking spectacle that saw Curtis break his UFC record for most strikes in a fight (140).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his second fight of the year, he lost to Brendan Allen by a split decision. He landed more strikes than him, but Allen made six successful takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Curtis was supposed to fight again in October (against Kevin Holland) but was forced to withdraw after fracturing his foot. Fast-forward to January 11 and he\u2019s supposed to fight Roman Kopylov, a guy who might be his worst matchup right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not only does Kopylov match Curtis\u2019 striking ability, but he\u2019s superior when it comes to wrestling. If it weren\u2019t for the foot injury, Curtis would probably stand a chance, but this way, we just cannot see him winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"ufc-vegas-predictions-for-all-fights\">UFC Vegas Predictions for All Fights<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mackenzie Dern to Beat Amanda Ribas<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris \u2013 Fight to Go the Distance<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cesar Almeida to Beat Abdul Razak Alhassan<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Roman Kopylov to Beat Chris Curtis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Christian Rodriguez to Beat Austin Bashi<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Punahele Soriano to Beat Uros Medic<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jose Johnson to Beat Felipe Bunes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marco Tulio to Beat Ihor Potieria<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Thiago Moses to Beat Trey Ogden<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacobe Smith to Beat Preston Parsons<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ernesta Kareckaite to Beat Nicolle Caliari<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Magomed Gadzhiyasulov to Beat Bruno Lopes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Victoria Dudakova to Beat Fatima Kline<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nurullo Aliev to Beat Joe Solecki<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In most fights, we think favorites will win, but there are some notable exceptions. In the UFC Vegas headliner, we think Dern will win. We also think Christian Rodriguez will beat Austin Bashi, and former heavyweight Punahele Soriano should do okay against Uros Medic in their welterweight clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only fight in which we think the fighters have an equal chance of winning is the Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris fight. It\u2019s really a coin-toss in our eyes, but if we had to pick one, we\u2019d go with Harris.<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Looking for UFC Vegas predictions? We\u2019ve got you covered for the first event of 2025. Headlined by Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2, this isn\u2019t your ordinary Apex event. We predict it\u2019s going to be a banger, with each fight bringing plenty of excitement not only to MMA fans but bettors as well. We\u2019ll now [&hellip;]","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":28974,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[465],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ufc"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>UFC Vegas Predictions: Dern vs. Ribas 2 (Jan 11)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"UFC Vegas predictions and odds analysis, including fighter stats, and free betting picks for the MMA event on January 11th, 2025.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas Predictions: Dern vs. Ribas 2 (Jan 11)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"UFC Vegas predictions and odds analysis, including fighter stats, and free betting picks for the MMA event on January 11th, 2025.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dev.offshoresportsbooks.com\/news\/ufc-vegas-predictions-jan-11-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Latest Sports Betting News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-01-08T16:36:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-01-08T16:36:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.offshoresportsbooks.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/01\/image_72.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"791\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"593\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Heidi Thomas\" \/>\n<meta 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